trying to figure out the science and art of trading and investing

an exchange of trading and investing knowledge. the various postings in this blog are based on my personal opinion only and do not constitute as investment advice. The blog owner shall not be liable for any losses incurred by visitors who take investment action based on the postings.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

The More You Know, The Less You Know

I will officially tone down my bearish view on the market unless there are more negative news to justify the view.

Everyday, it seems the more I learn, the less I know about the market. It is pointed out to me that the US yield curve is normal or positive. From this knowledge, it is better to hold a less bearish view.

If there is change in the yield curve from normal to flat, that might raise a few flags.

The market reacted negatively to today's CPI numbers would likely mean that the Fed would reconsider its aggressive rate cut position and take a more hawkish inflationary watch MODE.

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